The
PC revolution, the internet boom, the smartphone economy — all were
propelled along by a common set of technological standards. So will a
standard platform or operating system be necessary to get autonomous
cars rolling, too?
“There
is certainly no doubt that many carmakers have expressed the idea that a
more standardized platform would be attractive,” said John Wall, a
senior vice president at QNX, which develops software that is used in millions of vehicles today.
Car
companies have come to realize that existing in-car systems, with their
tangled layers of software and morass of hundreds of embedded
processors, are slow and overly complex by today’s computing standards.
If autonomous cars are ever to become a reality, they will require even
more powerful, more fully integrated and upgradable computing platforms,
designers say.
“The
feedback we hear is that the number of chips, the amount of wire — an
Audi has over six miles of wire in it — is excessive,” said Danny
Shapiro, senior director of automotive at the chip maker Nvidia, which is promoting its own autonomous driving platform.
A
more centralized approach could bring huge cost savings by reducing the
number of processors used in a car and thus reducing the need for the
cabling among those processors. Less wiring would also lower a car’s
weight to improve fuel economy, Mr. Shapiro said.
Nvidia is currently working with several automakers, including Audi, which plans to have its first self-driving vehicles on the road in 2020.
A
common automotive platform could also make it easier to develop new
software and safety systems for self-driving cars. “The goal is to
reduce the cost of bringing innovation to the mass market,” said Eric
Montague, a senior director at the speech recognition company Nuance.
Mr.
Montague said the challenge today is that every car has a unique
constellation of electronic control units, sensors and microphones. The
software must be specially tailored to each model.
There
is no shortage of companies vying to become the equivalent for
self-driving cars of the Windows/Intel standard for PCs. Chip makers
like Nvidia — as well as Intel — hope to establish their hardware as the
new brains behind autonomous vehicles. Delphi, QNX and Waymo (the
former Google self-driving project) are looking to put their software
front and center as the operating system of choice. Each wants to sell
its own car platform to automakers.
Some
auto companies are embracing new partnerships. BMW is working with
Intel, Mobileye and Here to bring self-driving cars to the road and
plans to start testing such vehicles this year. Ford is working closely
with QNX, a BlackBerry subsidiary, on the software needed for the
vehicles it is testing. Fiat Chrysler has built a new experimental fleet
of minivans for Waymo.
The
traditional automotive culture, however, has emphasized independence.
And some industry experts point to economic factors that argue against
settling on a standard platform. Being dependent on a single vendor can
mean higher prices.
“Automakers
don’t want to rely on Apple or Google,” said Glen DeVos, vice president
for software and services at Delphi. “But they also don’t want to
reinvent the wheel all the time.”
Emblematic
of that carmaker culture is Hyundai, which is mostly going it alone in
working on its self-driving entry. The company recently demonstrated how
far it has come, ferrying journalists in Las Vegas around in a
self-driving version of its Ioniq electric compact car. Hyundai, which
likes to emphasize that it even makes its own steel, has developed its
own platform, striving for affordability.
“You
don’t have to use a common system,” said Cason Grover, senior group
manager for vehicle technology planning innovation at Hyundai. “And we
don’t want to go down one path that hinders us in the future from
introducing new innovations.”
Bosch,
which supplies safety and technology systems to automakers, including
its own self-parking technology, acknowledges that a single,
one-size-fits-all system would be easier to work with. “But it would be a
killer for innovation,” said Detlef Zerfowski, vice president for
automotive system integration at Bosch.
Douglas
L. Davis of Intel, recently charged with spearheading that company’s
new self-driving car platform, Go, said, “Given the amount of computing
power necessary for autonomous driving, we think it can benefit from
greater commonality and predictable interfaces.”
“Mobileye
already has the computer vision, for example,” he said. “So if the
technology is good, why re-engineer it and take two to three years to
get it into a product?”
Which
design philosophy one chooses can have significant repercussions when
it comes to the security of robotic cars, evoking visions of hackers
causing mayhem by crashing cars and trucks into each other at highway
speeds. It’s a problem engineers are keenly aware of.
“Having
a common platform could have a downside,” Mr. Wall at QNX acknowledged.
“If there’s a vulnerability in one car, it could mean there’s a
vulnerability in every car.”
Conversely,
Mr. Wall pointed out that de facto software standards mean that more
programmers are focused on making those systems as secure as possible,
versus having only a few coders working on a single, narrowly used
program.
But
by developing as much of the technology as possible themselves, some
automakers believe they can solve problems more quickly.
“A side benefit of controlling the entire thing,” said Mr. Grover at Hyundai, “is that we know everything that’s going on.”
A
lack of standards and a diversity of self-driving systems does present
one other obvious challenge: Variety is not a virtue when cars must
interact predictably with human drivers — and other robotic vehicles —
to guarantee safety.
Riding
in Hyundai’s self-driving Ioniq, for example, is like taking a Sunday
drive with your grandmother. The car is extremely adept at staying
squarely in its lane without ping-ponging back and forth, but it is also
cautious in the extreme, stopping nine feet short of crosswalks and
stubbornly refusing to go forward if a pedestrian looks poised to step
off the sidewalk. It is behavior that can ignite road rage in nearby
human drivers.
By comparison, Delphi’s test car, which uses an Intel computing platform installed in an Audi Q5,
is more aggressive. It can easily merge into highway traffic and
negotiate complex intersections. However, it treats pedestrians with
less deference, taking right-hand corners more quickly — even though
pedestrians may be contemplating entering the crosswalk.
“There’s
a big difference in the algorithms and even sensor choices being used,”
Mr. Grover said, which can affect how collision-prevention and
lane-keeping systems work. When autonomous cars do hit the road, he
said, you could have a fair amount of variation in how they behave.
“There
are quite a few different approaches to creating autonomous systems,”
said Ralf Herrtwich of Here, which is making high-resolution maps for
the next generation of vehicles. Mr. Herrtwich said the necessary
standards might come not from the car platform itself, though, but from
the communications side.
In
order to avoid accidents down the road and conditions like black ice
that a car’s sensors cannot detect, self-driving vehicles will have to
share information with each other, through so-called V2V or
vehicle-to-vehicle communication. The National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration has proposed that V2V equipment be installed in all cars in the future.
Indeed, there are already cars like the 2017 BMW 5 Series that can broadcast information about road hazards over a cellular connection, but only other BMWs can make use of the warnings.
Technology
suppliers, platform vendors and automakers acknowledge that
self-driving cars are still in their infancy and that as the vehicles
mature, standards will be forthcoming.
Most
car manufacturers are still struggling just to establish standards
across their own models and brands, Mr. DeVos of Delphi said.
“Once that happens,” he said, “then we can talk about how to work across different companies.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/23/automobiles/wheels/self-driving-cars-standards.html?WT.mc_id=SmartBriefs-Newsletter&WT.mc_ev=click&ad-keywords=smartbriefsnl&_r=0
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