Intel realizes there will be a post-Moore's Law era and is investing in
technologies to drive computing beyond today's PCs and servers.
The chipmaker is "investing heavily" in quantum and neuromorphic
computing, said Brian Krzanich, CEO of Intel, during a
question-and-answer session at the company's investor day on Thursday.
"We are investing in those edge type things that are way out there," Krzanich said.
To give an idea of how far out these technologies are, Krzanich said his daughter would perhaps be running the company by then.
Researching in these technologies, which are still in their infancy, is
something Intel has to do to survive for many more decades. Shrinking
silicon chips and cramming more features into them is becoming
difficult, and Intel is already having trouble in manufacturing smaller
chips.
Smartphones, PCs, and other devices are getting smaller, faster and more power efficient thanks to Moore's Law, a 1965 observation loosely
stating that the number of transistors in a die area would double every
two years, causing performance to double while driving down the cost of
making chips.
Intel has been using Moore's Law as a guiding star to make faster and
smaller chips and reducing the price of devices. However, it is widely
agreed that Moore's Law is slowly dying, and Intel's manufacturing
struggles are growing.
For decades, Intel's business has been heavily reliant on its ability to
make and deliver chips. But the process is slowing down. Intel used to
advance manufacturing processes every two years, and that has now
changed to three to four years.
One way to resolve that crisis -- which all chipmakers face -- is to
completely change the current computing model in PCs, smartphones, and
servers. The current model -- known as the Von Neumann approach --
involves data being pushed to a processor, calculated, and sent back to
memory. But storage and memory are becoming bottlenecks.
The answer is to adopt new models of computing, which is where quantum
computers and neuromorphic chips fit in. Quantum computers have the
potential to be powerful computers harnessing the unique quality of a
large number of qubits to perform multiple calculations in parallel.
Neuromorphic chips are modeled after the human brain, which could help
computers make decisions based on patterns and associations.
Intel has made some advances in quantum computing and neuromorphic chips. But Krzanich's comments lend more credibility to the company's push to look at a future beyond today's computing models.
Some short-term answers can resolve the bottlenecks based on Von Neumann
model, including Optane, Intel's new form of super-fast memory and
storage. It could unite SSDs and DRAM in systems, cutting one
bottleneck. Intel is also embracing silicon photonics, which could
resolve throughput issues in data centers. Both technologies have been
researched for more than a decade and are now practical.
The chipmaker has lived off the PC industry for decades but is now
looking to grow in markets like data centers, the internet of things,
automotive and high-performance computing. The new focus is bringing a
gradual change to the way Intel makes chips. It's similar to the 1970s,
when different types of chips like vector processors and floating point
arrays were crammed together for complex calculations.
For example, Intel is slapping together two separate functional blocks
for applications like machine learning and autonomous cars. Intel
envisions FPGAs combining with CPUs in autonomous cars. Later this year,
the company will release a chip called Lake Crest, which combines a
Xeon server CPU with deep-learning chip technology it picked up through
its Nervana Systems acquisition. Intel is also merging an FPGA inside an
Intel Xeon chip to carry out machine learning tasks.
Intel is expecting a lot of data to be generated by sources like
autonomous cars, which will need edge processing for tasks like image
recognition, analysis, and map updates. Intel is pushing its wide roster
of co-processors to the edge, and that is where the quantum and
neuromorphic chips may fit.
Quantum computer research is also being done by other companies. D-Wave
recently released a 2,000-qubit quantum computer based on quantum
annealing, while IBM has a 5-bit quantum computer accessible via the
cloud. IBM is also playing with brain-like chips and has benchmarked its TrueNorth chip, which has a million neurons and 256 million synapses.
Academic institutions like the University of Heidelberg in Germany,
Stanford University, and the University of Manchester in the U.K. are
also working on neuromorphic chips. HPE has shown a computer that emulates the human brain, and it intends to adapt ideas from that for servers.
http://www.computerworld.com/article/3168768/computer-processors/intel-researches-tech-to-prepare-for-a-future-beyond-todays-pcs.html
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